Maybe inevitable was the wrong word. “Not surprising” and “able to be planned for” might be better.
Potentially controversial view below. Just food for thought - I’m basing on purely on anecdote:
Maybe I’m old school, but I’m skeptical of all of these studies if their prescription is some complicated formula to measure and control:
- Youth workloads
- Time off
- Technical, isolated muscle training in formative pitching years
- Highly specialized mechanics of VERY fine movements and idiosyncrasies of one’s motion
-Tell a kid he needs to “overload” his scap and really decelerate with his large muscles, and I’ll show you a kid that won’t like baseball by the time he’s 16. Just an exaggerated example - I’m obviously making this up.
At what point does it stop being a game and just be one more thing that a helicopter dad can suck the fun out of because “junior might have a chance at the pros.” We may just have to accept the fact that throwing a baseball as hard as we can bears inherent risk to the arm the longer and faster we do it.
Can we help with conditioning and proper mechanics? Hell yeah. Will we stamp out arm injuries? No way. There has to be a risk/reward trade off in there somewhere where the attitude of “yeah he might blow his arm out, but dang it he gets a lot of outs” outweighs the constant worrying and tinkering. So much of our throwing motion is hard-coded when we are 4 years old launching rocks into the nearby pond. The net impact of trying to mitigate injury risk might have some unforeseen negative consequences.